Research articles · Long-form

The deep reads, from the editor.

Long-form research analysis by Daniel ATZ — each piece built on the primary sources behind the dashboard. Slower than the news. Deeper than the brief.

06
June 2026
Regional Analysis
12 min read
06 · editorial image to come
Regional Analysis

The Eurostat Decade: U.S. Nationals in Europe, 2014–2025

Eurostat is the only major receiving-country statistical infrastructure on Earth that publishes harmonised, comparable, country-disaggregated migration data on the United States. Taken on its own terms, the decade ending in 2025 reveals four overlapping patterns: a post-2020 reorientation of US settlement toward Southern Europe, a Northern and continental inverse condition, an education-driven cluster, and a legislative-driven naturalisation pattern.

Portugal's first permits to US nationals grew eight-fold over the decade; Sweden's stayed essentially flat; Denmark's are dominated by students; Austria's citizenship grants jumped an order of magnitude on a single 2020 law. There is no single European story - there are four, and they pull in different directions.

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by Daniel ATZ
05
June 2026
Regional Analysis
7 min read
05 · editorial image to come
Regional Analysis

Counted but Invisible: Americans and the Caribbean Citizenship-by-Investment States

Five CARICOM states - St Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Grenada, Dominica, and Saint Lucia - operate citizenship-by-investment programmes whose grants carry free movement across the region under the Revised Treaty of Chaguaramas. The US cohort is plausibly the largest single national group across the Caribbean CBI universe - but that cannot be verified from primary data.

A US national who acquires a second citizenship without moving appears in neither set of books: not enumerated by the host country as a resident, because they are not resident; not enumerated by the United States as an emigrant, because they have not left. This piece reads what the five CBI units actually publish - and where the record goes dark.

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by Daniel ATZ
04
June 2026
Regional Analysis
9 min read
04 · editorial image to come
Regional Analysis

The Data Wall: How the Gulf States Count Americans - and Don't

Across the Gulf, residence-permit and labour-market administrations enumerate foreign nationals by nationality for visa-management and security purposes - and publish almost none of it. The US corporate, oil-and-gas, and military presence in the GCC, plausibly on the order of 50,000 to 80,000 people, is not enumerated in any host-country dataset beyond a single Saudi census line.

Bahrain carries a transparency score of 0.0 while hosting a US naval community of roughly 9,000 that appears in no Bahraini dataset. The UAE stopped publishing nationality breakdowns around 2010. Saudi Arabia's 2022 Census - the first to publish a separate US line, at 20,485 - is the exception that shows the wall is policy, not capacity.

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by Daniel ATZ
03
March 23, 2026
Country Analytics
6 min read
03 · editorial image to come
Country Analytics

Surge in Americans Relocating to Greece Amid Growing US Financial Strains

A 49% jump in US approvals and a new start-up investment route are cementing Greece's Golden Visa as a preferred escape hatch for wealthy Americans seeking stability, residency, and opportunity in Europe. US approvals climbed from 388 in December 2024 to 578 a year later - a steady 3.4% per month, not a one-off spike around a single news cycle, but a sustained shift in investor sentiment.

The deeper story is what Greece publishes - and what it doesn't. The Golden Visa series is the only US-disaggregated figure the Greek state releases on a regular cadence; stock, outflows, and naturalizations cannot be read from public sources at all. The headlines outrun the published record.

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by Daniel ATZ
02
June 2026
Methodology · Four Sources
8 min read
02 · editorial image to come
Methodology · Four Sources

Four Sources: Americans in the Philippines

How many Americans live in the Philippines depends entirely on which official source you ask - and the four available answers do not agree. This piece walks each source in turn: what it measures, who it misses, and why the gaps between them are themselves the finding.

It is the clearest single-country illustration of the discipline that runs through everything we publish: we don't average the sources into a fake number. We show you all four, named, and let the disagreement carry the story.

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by Daniel ATZ
01
June 2026
Country Analytics
7 min read
01 · editorial image to come
Country Analytics

How Many Americans Live in Argentina?

Argentina is one of the few countries where the US-born population may be smaller than the US-citizen one - an inversion produced by descent-based citizenship. This piece reconstructs the American presence from the permit registers and census tabulations, and explains what the inversion tells you about who these Americans actually are.

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by Daniel ATZ
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